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Matt Cronin's blog

Dominators Federer, Henin look to avoid
slow grinding fizzle on deep blue courts

Plus: Hewitt, court speed, Jankovic, Dokic, Monday picks


Belgian tennis player Justine Henin
Ron Cioffi/TR
Justine Henin not concerned about boo-birds, while Andy Murray is concerned about Jo-Wilfried Tsonga.
Scottish tennis player Andy Murray
Cynthia Lum/WireImage.com
 
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FROM THE AUSTRALIAN OPEN – Upon hearing after landing in Melbourne that Roger Federer and Justine Henin were highlighting the Sunday press conferences, I tried to recall the last time that two players came into a Slam as such significant favorites after such dominant stretches. I had to go back more than decade to 1995, when Pete Sampras and Steffi Graf had come off convincing Wimbledon victories, came into the US Open levitating and spellbound the fields.

Those two still are, in my never humble opinion, the two best players ever, although it won’t last for long, as Federer is sure to catch Sampras in overall major crowns in the next two years, and very likely do so this year. Henin will never catch her heroine Steffi in overall Slam titles, but given her stiff her competition was last year compared to Graf’s in 1995, you would have to concede that the Belgian had a very Steffi-like year in 2007. Not quite a "Graf runs the table and knocks off all the silverware in her foe’s laps" type of season (especially that fork still sticking out of Arantxa’s thigh), but a "sort of a sweet and serious Steffi snuffs out the main contenders" type of season.

Federer talked tough despite a stomach virus that laid him up about a week, and Henin was quick to put aside thoughts that she’s still brooding about the crowd’s reaction to her controversial retirement in the '06 final to Amelie Mauresmo, who, by the way, is flying about as far under the radar as any two-time Slam champ can. The buzz is all about Lindsay Davenport, her baby, and her potential heavyweight bout against Maria Sharapova in round two. It’s not about Mauresmo’s potential march to reclaim the top spot. Few believe she is physically up to it. We’ll know a lot about her state of affairs if she faces Jelena Jankovic in the in the fourth round, or Serena Williams in the quarters. However, Jankovic is under serious threat in the first round from Tamira Paszek and the word off the court is that hamstring injury aside, JJ still looks very tired from her endless schedule, which has yet to cease. She may survive a few rounds, but she may not be up for Mauresmo, and certainly not for Serena, who may get a stern test herself from the now recovered Victoria Azarenka.

QUESIONING THE SURFACE
Federer may take a few matches before he’s running as quickly as the wind blew of the Pacific today, too. But his opinions are coming hard and strong and he took a big rip at the change of Aussie Open surface today, saying “it’s not the same tournament anymore and they’ve changed the surface too many times in the last years. So they had better keep this one for the next 50 years.”

Will they? Who knows? Plexicushion, which has replaced Rebound Ace, is not much different from the rubber that they played on last year, but it doesn’t bounce as high and is slower. But from my experience, is pretty close to the US Open surface (DecoTurf) in speed. I haven’t hit on it enough to say that the feel is much different, but it does have a little more stick to it than traditional hard courts. Federer thinks it’s too slow and like most of the players who have weighed in, says that the longer the rallies go, the heavier the balls get. “Everybody’s complaining that we’re playing too much from the baseline, so we’ll only see more of that in Australia, that’s for sure.” Federer can win on this surface, but can Sharapova, Davenport or Andy Roddick against players that can usually bully their opponents on quicker surfaces? We’ll know very soon.

Lleyton Hewitt has consistently complained that the AO surface was too slow for his liking and now he enters his home country Slam without much to cheer about. He hasn’t made an impact since last summer, when he made a marginal one by reaching the semis of Cincy. He had been for second-week lock at the Slam for so many years and, then in 2007, failed to reach at least one Grand Slam quarter for first time since 1999. A good effort would be to reach the fourth round and get a crack at Novak Djokovic, who bested him at ’07 Wimbledon. He’s going to have to up his level a ton though to win that contest and now he has the likes of Wayne Arthurs saying that by being more aggressive, he may have lost that consistency which made him the best player in the world.

“I'm still pretty consistent, though, compared to most guys out there, still play the percentages a lot better than most guys out there,” Hewitt said. “So there are probably a handful of guys that are up there in terms of consistency with me. But the game's always changing, as well. And Roger Federer's obviously the guy that's taken the game to a new level. And you've got to look at little ways of improving your game to be able to match it with the best players. And being slightly a bit more aggressive and maybe not so predictable is maybe one way of doing that.”

Russian tennis player Vera Zvonareva
Ron Cioffi/TR
Has Vera Zvonareva's ankle healed?
 
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Hewitt’s right there. He really has no choice because with his multitude of injuries, being an explosive backboard isn’t going to cut it anymore. Hewitt’s results have been so marginal that the nation is starting to turn its eyes to Chris Guccione, who reached the Sydney final before falling to Dmitry Tursunov. Imagine that – backing a guy in Melbourne who just re-entered the Top 100. Upon whispering that thought while standing amongst the multitude of statues of all-time greats in the plaza, I could have sworn I saw Rod Laver’s bronzed head quiver. Guccione could face last year’s finalist, Fernando Gonzalez, in the second round. … Is Jelena Dokic’s year over before it began? The former No. 4 crashed out of the qualies with a 6-2, 6-1 loss to veteran Tamarine Tanasugarn. With little funding and a virtually non-existent ranking, it will be a long climb back for a woman who has said she’s gone from hell and back at least on four different occasions during her career, which means that hell isn’t far behind and could be right around the corner again. I wouldn’t be surprised to see her drop off the face of the earth again and not resurface during the next Aussie summer, but I hope she doesn’t, because Dokic still has some talent left.

QUICK PICKS FOR MONDAY
Andy Murray will confront Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in a contest that is worrying the British press corp. Sure, Tsonga is explosive but, over five sets, the young Scot should be able to figure him out. Alicia Molik has to be concerned about streaky Kaia Kanepi, too, in night match, but the Aussie should survive in three. … How about an early upset like the red hot Michael Llodra over Nikolay Davydenko out on Margaret Court Arena? No, I’ll stay away from that one, but will say it will go five before the Russian chops his legs from under him. … The Americans Down Under badly want to see a Roddick v. Donald Young second-round match, but Young has to best Germany’s Michael Berrer first. That’s a tough ticket, but Ill take D-Young in four. … Anyone for a Ai Sugiyama v. Vera Zvonareva sweat-fest? Sure, if Vera’s bum ankle was better, but she won’t be able to play for two hours, which is what it will take to win. … Britain’s Jaime Baker qualified and now will have the pleasure of watching Ivo Karlovic’s service bomb's explode in the corners. … Young American lefty Jesse Levine takes to Court 10 against the scandalized Martin Vassallo Arguello. Think Levine got some tips from his practice partner, Federer? All it will take is one decent win and Levine will put himself on the US map. … Good for Stanford alum Sam Warburg for qualifying. He’ll play the unknown Argentine, Juan Pablo Brzezicki. … If you are looking for a terrific small court match-up, go watch Igor Andreev's cannon forehands blasted at Andrei Pavel’s wondrous backhand on Court 14. … The chat rooms love the new look of Dominika Cibulkova, but she’ll face another veteran chat room favorite, Flavia Pennetta. Bye, bye to the fresh face. … Both Ashley Harkleroad and Virginie Razzano have had decent starts to the year and they will play the last match on Court 21 out by the railroad tracks. Where’s the respect for Pebbles and Ra-Ra? Take Razzano in three.

Talk to me … Go to the TR Forum and weigh in on this story

 

USTA Southern

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