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BOYCOTT GOES BUST

Olympic pull-outs: Serena, Capriati in a world of hurt
The TR.net four-step Olympic formula
U.S. tennis player Venus Williams
Fred Mullane/Camerawork USA
The United States' best and only hope: defending gold medallist Venus Williams.
It now seems like eons ago that US women won 13 out of the last 16 Grand Slams (2000-2003) and the last three gold medals. With Serena Williams and Jennifer Capriati's Olympic pull outs due to injuries, the US is no more than a long shot to win Olympic gold. Defending champ Venus cannot possibly be counting on her sprained wrist to be completely healed or that some other injury bug might not bite her, given that she's been on the sidelines for one ailment or another during 11 out of the last 13 months.

The major US women are now a veteran group and every one of their significant singles players has been down for the count over the last year – Venus, Serena, Capriati, Lindsay Davenport and Chanda Rubin, who's subbing for Jennifer in Athens.

Serena's last minute pullout was not wholly surprising and was suspected when she pulled out of Carlsbad's Acura Classic with inflation of her left knee. Some veteran writers (not this one) believed on the day of the pullout that it was precursor for Athens, because it's been obvious since March that Serena has been spooked with security concerns. But the thought here was that the Olympic village would be a perfect environment for the fun-loving and attention-grabbing Williams and given the number of pre-Olympic photo shoots she did (think Vanity Fair and ESPN the magazine), there's little doubt that at least on some level she wanted to go.

"I've never been this disappointed in my career," Williams told The Associated Press. "The good news is I don't need surgery. That's the only good news."

WHY FLY TO NEW YORK?
But here's what quite strange about the whole pullout: her two primary knee doctors are in LA and San Francisco, so why did she travel to New York and another doctor before the plane took off, unless she re-injured her knee during practice during the past few days? It's likely that she went to NY with the full knowledge that her knee was likely too sore to play and when it didn't feel great on Wednesday, went to another doctor, who confirmed (obviously) that playing on an inflamed knee could inflame it further. Plus, at some level, she was scared of going.

Serena knew last week that she was leaning toward not going and should have done her team (and possible replacements Amy Frazier or Meghann Shaughnessy) and everyone else a favor by withdrawing then so that captain Zina Garrison could have named a replacement, instead of having Olympic officials sub in the next highest-ranked international player. But, as Serena said last month, in order to get back to the top again, "I need to focus more on me and what I need." She felt like she needed to wait until the last minute before deciding what was best for her - the rest of the team be dammed.

Serena has said that winning her third US Open is a bigger priority, but given that going into the Open she will have had only seven matches on hardcourts this summer, her chances of winning are hovering around 40 percent.

U.S. tennis player Jennifer Capriati
Susan Mullane/
Camerawork USA
Capriati won't be playing for the USA.
JCAP NEEDED TO PLAY MORE
Capriati's chances are less than that, given that she's only played three matches on hardcourts this summer and that her hamstring injury will prevent her from doing the necessary off-court sprints and long runs to get her game back. It's important to note with Capriati that, during her prime, she won three Slams primarily because she was such an excellent retriever. Without her speed, she'll be forced to play shorter points and that's where she always gets herself into trouble.

It was just last July that Capriati was discussing how remarkable it that she had stayed relatively injury-free throughout her long career. Part of that had to do with her four-year self imposed exile from the tour. Now she's been suffering injuries for the past year, beginning with her elbow and shoulder last August and continuing with her hamstring and back this summer. She has expressed a desire to play into her 30s, but her body may not allow that.

BOYCOTTING THE BOYCOTT
Apologies to those who e-mailed me last week and asked me to weight in on the Olympic controversy, but other obligations kept me off the web site the past four days. Here's the cold reality: Neither the ATP, WTA or ITF are going to risk the potential publicity they are going to get from the Games on relatively unknown players such as the Netherlands' Raemon Sluiter and Germany's Anca Barna and Marlene Weingartner. None of those players had a serious shot at medaling anyway and bringing the tours and the ITF more publicity, so why throw the stars out with the journeyman's bath water?

There was never any serious chance of a boycott, because the players weren't quite sure whom to boycott. The German Olympic Committee? The Dutch Olympic Committee? It's not the Olympic chieftains themselves who made the call; it was the offended players' own committees that decided they weren't good enough to make the teams.

However, do you think if Roger Federer, Andy Roddick, Venus or Anastasia Myskina were left off their teams that the response from the tours would have been the same? No, the tours are married to their star players and making sure that their stars are taken care of. For good reason – stars sell tickets – tennis has always been that way and likely always will be.

Moreover, the Olympics is not a tour event. It's an event that the ITF tries to take the lead in, but is not owned by the ITF. It's a "tournament" where tennis' traditional leading bodies are treated like Challenger-level players. It's a tournament where in the US, the matches are going to shown for the most part on the Bravo network, right after "Celebrity Poker Showdown" (where Serena is sure to appear during the medal rounds).

What's been most disturbing about the whole charade is the weak-kneed and after-the-fact responses about possibly not rewarding points to the players for participating in 2008. That's completely besides the point. I haven't heard one player say he or she wouldn't play if they didn't award points. The Olympics are about national glory, not about rankings.

What the ITF and the tours really need to do is change the format so people will care to tune in. In an Olympic year, players still have to play the Davis and Fed Cups, which is basically redundant. This overkill hampers the sport's overall appeal by exhausting competitors and encouraging them to overplay, leading to more and more injuries. You just watch how many folks come into the US Open lame.

The TR.net four-step Olympic formula

What the sport's three leading bodies should do for 2008 is install what would be a simple and easy formula and would satisfy all parties.

1. Make the Olympics a team sport, like the Davis and Fed Cup formats.
2. During an Olympic year, have the Davis and Fed Cups play until 16 countries remain (for each gender).
3.
The Olympics would pick up where the cup competition ended. So, 16 countries would compete for the men's medals and 16 countries would compete for the women's medals.
4. The gold medal-winning countries would be declared the winner of the respective Davis and Fed Cups.

Therefore, in the true spirit of the Games, there would actually be a nation vs. nation team event at the Olympics.

The ITF would be satisfied because the formula would keep both Cups going annually (and those precious money making ties in nations that don't host a Slam would still occur). Plus, the formula would actually bring more attention to the Davis and Fed Cups. The Olympic committees from all the nations would be told that if they don't sign an agreement with the ITF that allow the national tennis federations to select their teams that their nations players' won't participate. The ATP and WTA could still award ranking points based on matches won.

It's that simple, which is why the Byzantine world of tennis, it will likely never occur.

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